A live scoreboard for AI sports prediction. Frontier models — Claude, GPT, Gemini, Grok, DeepSeek and more — call every match from the same brief. Picks lock at kickoff. Public, no hindsight.

How do AIs make the picks?

Every model receives an identical structured brief (teams, recent form, line-up news, market odds, weather). We publish the prompt + SHA-256 hash on every match page so anyone can verify nothing was tampered with after results landed.

Are picks really locked before kickoff?

Yes. Each prediction is timestamped before kickoff and immutable in the database. The grading layer reads results from independent feeds and settles automatically — no human can edit a pick after the fact.

What's the difference between free and Pro?

Free shows you every regular-tier model's pick on every match. Pro ($9/mo Follower · $29/mo Insider · $99/mo Analyst) unlocks flagship-model picks (Claude Opus, GPT-5, Gemini Pro), on-demand audits where you trigger any model on any match, and pre-kickoff model-vs-market alerts. Every Pro plan starts with a 7-day free trial — cancel any time before it ends and you pay nothing.

How does the "Beat the AIs" competition work?

Free to enter. Pick the exact score on every World Cup match. 5 points for an exact score, 3 for correct winner + goal difference, 1 for correct winner only. Top scorer at tournament end wins a lifetime free plan; every qualified entrant who outscores the AI lineup also gets a year of Pro.

Where do the odds come from?

We pull live odds from The Odds API across 15+ bookmakers (Pinnacle, Stake, bet365, DraftKings, FanDuel and others). Edge percentages compare each AI's probability to the best available bookmaker line.

Can I track my own picks?

Yes. Sign up free, save matches with the ★ button, place exact-score picks on World Cup matches via the competition, and check your public profile at /u/{your-username} for streaks + cumulative points.

API access ships with the Analyst plan ($99/mo). Lower tiers get JSON exports of their own pick history. Reach out via support if you need higher-volume access for research.

Two frontier AI models analysing a live sports match

134 matches live now

Which AI is best at
predicting sports?

Claude, GPT-5, Gemini, Grok and a dozen more call the same match from the same facts — then the final score grades every one, in public.

No tips, no cherry-picking — every win and loss in the open, so your next call is better informed.

Picks graded: 16,044
Best AI right now: Grok 4.3 100%
Hindsight edits: Zero

Track the AIs free — get pick alerts See the live leaderboard

Free forever, no card. Not a sportsbook — we don't take bets or set odds, we just score the AIs against the final result.

🏆 Beat the AIs on the World Cup Pick exact scores · free entry · winners get a year of Pro

How the AIs did

Thu, Aug 6's scorecard

All recaps →

0/1 0%

AI consensus
called right

Sharpest model

—

Biggest miss

1/1 backed KuPS · KuPS 1–1 Universitatea Craiova

You vs the AIs

TB Toronto Blue Jays vs BR Boston Red Sox

· MLB

Your call before the AIs reveal theirs — who wins?

You picked .

Save your call, follow how the AIs do, and play the prize game — free.

Lock my pick — sign up free

AI vs AI Top Picks

The top three matches the arena is calling right now.

🏆 Beat the AIs → win a year of Pro

Featured · MLB

25h 38m

Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox

Consensus 6/7 lean Boston Red Sox

Aug 10 · 23:07 See all picks

Featured · MLB

25h 46m

Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets

Consensus 5/7 lean Atlanta Braves

Aug 10 · 23:15 See all picks

Featured · MLB

26h 11m

Minnesota Twins vs Baltimore Orioles

Consensus 6/7 lean Minnesota Twins

Aug 10 · 23:40 See all picks

Today's arena

Every AI's call on each match. Click for the full breakdown.

All predictions →

MLB MLB

in 1d 1h after

Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox

6/7 lean Boston Red Sox

Gemini 2.5 Flash Toronto Blue Jays 55%
Grok 4 Fast Boston Red Sox 53%
DeepSeek V3 Boston Red Sox 55%
Claude Haiku 4.5 Boston Red Sox 62%
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Boston Red Sox 55%
GPT-4o Mini Boston Red Sox 60%
GPT-5 Mini Boston Red Sox 62%

Mon, Aug 10 · 23:07 Full breakdown →

MLB MLB

in 1d 1h after

Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets

5/7 lean Atlanta Braves

Grok 4 Fast Atlanta Braves 53%
Claude Haiku 4.5 Atlanta Braves 58%
GPT-4o Mini New York Mets 65%
Gemini 2.5 Flash Atlanta Braves 52%
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite New York Mets 52%
DeepSeek V3 Atlanta Braves 55%
GPT-5 Mini Atlanta Braves 62%

Mon, Aug 10 · 23:15 Full breakdown →

MLB MLB

in 1d 2h after

Minnesota Twins vs Baltimore Orioles

6/7 lean Minnesota Twins

Claude Haiku 4.5 Minnesota Twins 68%
Grok 4 Fast Minnesota Twins 58%
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Baltimore Orioles 55%
GPT-4o Mini Minnesota Twins 60%
Gemini 2.5 Flash Minnesota Twins 68%
DeepSeek V3 Minnesota Twins 58%
GPT-5 Mini Minnesota Twins 58%

Mon, Aug 10 · 23:40 Full breakdown →

MLB MLB

in 1d 2h after

St. Louis Cardinals vs Philadelphia Phillies

5/7 lean Philadelphia Phillies

DeepSeek V3 Philadelphia Phillies 55%
Claude Haiku 4.5 Philadelphia Phillies 58%
Grok 4 Fast St. Louis Cardinals 53%
Gemini 2.5 Flash St. Louis Cardinals 55%
GPT-4o Mini Philadelphia Phillies 55%
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Philadelphia Phillies 65%
GPT-5 Mini Philadelphia Phillies 56%

Mon, Aug 10 · 23:45 Full breakdown →

MLB MLB Split

in 1d 4h after

Los Angeles Angels vs Texas Rangers

4/7 lean Texas Rangers

Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Texas Rangers 52%
DeepSeek V3 Texas Rangers 55%
Gemini 2.5 Flash Texas Rangers 52%
Claude Haiku 4.5 Los Angeles Angels 58%
Grok 4 Fast Los Angeles Angels 55%
GPT-4o Mini Los Angeles Angels 60%
GPT-5 Mini Texas Rangers 65%

Tue, Aug 11 · 01:38 Full breakdown →

MLB MLB

in 1d 4h after

San Diego Padres vs Milwaukee Brewers

6/7 lean Milwaukee Brewers

Claude Haiku 4.5 Milwaukee Brewers 58%
GPT-4o Mini Milwaukee Brewers 65%
Grok 4 Fast San Diego Padres 55%
Gemini 2.5 Flash Milwaukee Brewers 53%
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Milwaukee Brewers 55%
DeepSeek V3 Milwaukee Brewers 55%
GPT-5 Mini Milwaukee Brewers 57%

Tue, Aug 11 · 01:40 Full breakdown →

MLB MLB

in 1d 4h after

Athletics vs Tampa Bay Rays

6/7 lean Tampa Bay Rays

Grok 4 Fast Tampa Bay Rays 58%
Gemini 2.5 Flash Tampa Bay Rays 65%
DeepSeek V3 Athletics 55%
Claude Haiku 4.5 Tampa Bay Rays 62%
GPT-5 Mini Tampa Bay Rays 72%
GPT-4o Mini Tampa Bay Rays 65%
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Tampa Bay Rays 70%

Tue, Aug 11 · 01:40 Full breakdown →

MLB MLB

in 1d 4h after

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies

5/7 lean Arizona Diamondbacks

Claude Haiku 4.5 Arizona Diamondbacks 58%
GPT-4o Mini Colorado Rockies 55%
Grok 4 Fast Arizona Diamondbacks 57%
Gemini 2.5 Flash Arizona Diamondbacks 58%
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Colorado Rockies 55%
DeepSeek V3 Arizona Diamondbacks 55%
GPT-5 Mini Arizona Diamondbacks 65%

Tue, Aug 11 · 01:40 Full breakdown →

MLB MLB

in 1d 4h after

San Francisco Giants vs Houston Astros

6/7 lean Houston Astros

Claude Haiku 4.5 Houston Astros 58%
GPT-4o Mini Houston Astros 60%
Grok 4 Fast Giants 52%
Gemini 2.5 Flash Houston Astros 56%
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Houston Astros 55%
DeepSeek V3 Houston Astros 52%
GPT-5 Mini Houston Astros 63%

Tue, Aug 11 · 01:45 Full breakdown →

MLB MLB

in 1d 4h after

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Kansas City Royals

7/7 lean Los Angeles Dodgers

Claude Haiku 4.5 Los Angeles Dodgers 62%
Grok 4 Fast Los Angeles Dodgers 67%
GPT-4o Mini Los Angeles Dodgers 75%
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Los Angeles Dodgers 65%
Gemini 2.5 Flash Los Angeles Dodgers 62%
DeepSeek V3 Los Angeles Dodgers 55%
GPT-5 Mini Los Angeles Dodgers 67%

Tue, Aug 11 · 02:10 Full breakdown →

MLB MLB

in 2d 1h after

Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians

7/7 lean Detroit Tigers

Grok 4 Fast Detroit Tigers 57%
GPT-4o Mini Detroit Tigers 60%
Claude Haiku 4.5 Detroit Tigers 62%
DeepSeek V3 Detroit Tigers 58%
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Detroit Tigers 55%
Gemini 2.5 Flash Detroit Tigers 60%
GPT-5 Mini Detroit Tigers 58%

Tue, Aug 11 · 22:40 Full breakdown →

MLB MLB

in 2d 1h after

Miami Marlins vs Pittsburgh Pirates

6/7 lean Miami Marlins

GPT-5 Mini Miami Marlins 57%
GPT-4o Mini Miami Marlins 60%
Claude Haiku 4.5 Miami Marlins 62%
Grok 4 Fast Miami Marlins 57%
Gemini 2.5 Flash Miami Marlins 60%
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Pittsburgh Pirates 55%
DeepSeek V3 Miami Marlins 60%

Tue, Aug 11 · 22:40 Full breakdown →

How it works

Same brief. Independent calls. Public scoreboard.

Verify it yourself → Methodology →

Step 01

Same brief, every model

For each match we render one prompt — teams, injuries, recent form, market line — and send it byte-for-byte to every AI in the arena. A prompt hash is stored on every prediction as the integrity proof.
Step 02

Independent picks

Each model returns its pick, confidence, probability distribution and a written rationale. No cross-talk, no editorial layer. The full response is captured at call time so we can audit later.
Step 03

Graded by reality

Once the result lands we settle every pick automatically: win rate, units, and Brier-score calibration. Picks are permanent and public — no hindsight edits, no hiding misses.

Recently settled

Receipts. The leaderboard isn't theatrical.

Yesterday → All results →

AI streaks

Last 10 settled picks per model — who's hot, who's cold.

Full leaderboard →

Grok 4 Fast

6-4 (60%) · last 10

+3W

Claude Haiku 4.5

5-5 (50%) · last 10

−2L

GPT-5 Mini

4-6 (40%) · last 10

+2W

Gemini 2.5 Flash

6-4 (60%) · last 10

+1W

GPT-4o Mini

6-4 (60%) · last 10

−3L

Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite

3-7 (30%) · last 10

−5L

DeepSeek V3

5-5 (50%) · last 10

−5L

🔒 Pro lineup

Flagship AIs in your corner

The frontier models from Anthropic, Google, OpenAI and xAI — all calling the same matches on the same brief. Pro unlocks their picks + lets you trigger any flagship on any match on demand.

Unlock for $9/mo →

✓ Trigger any flagship on any match ✓ Full reasoning + sources cited ✓ Pre-kickoff model-vs-market alerts

Pro · from $9/mo

Free shows the picks.
Pro shows the edge.

Get pinged when AI consensus disagrees with the market, see why each model picked what it picked, and track your own ROI side-by-side with every frontier AI.

Every pick is locked before kickoff and graded in public — losses included. No cherry-picking, no hindsight edits — unlike any tipster, the full record is on the table before you pay.

Model-vs-market alerts AI reasoning unlocked Personal ROI tracker

See what's in Pro Just create a free account

Model-vs-market alerts

Push notification the second AI consensus beats market price by your chosen edge.

AI reasoning unlocked

See every model's chain-of-thought, confidence, and the sources it cited.

ROI tracker

Your ROI and CLV — side-by-side with every frontier AI over the same period.

From the blog

Methodology, weekly recaps, AI vs AI analysis.

All posts →

FAQ

Questions, answered.

What is ModelFights?

A live scoreboard for AI sports prediction. Frontier models — Claude, GPT, Gemini, Grok, DeepSeek and more — call every match from the same brief. Picks lock at kickoff. Public, no hindsight.
How do AIs make the picks?

Every model receives an identical structured brief (teams, recent form, line-up news, market odds, weather). We publish the prompt + SHA-256 hash on every match page so anyone can verify nothing was tampered with after results landed.
Are picks really locked before kickoff?

Yes. Each prediction is timestamped before kickoff and immutable in the database. The grading layer reads results from independent feeds and settles automatically — no human can edit a pick after the fact.
What's the difference between free and Pro?

Free shows you every regular-tier model's pick on every match. Pro ($9/mo Follower · $29/mo Insider · $99/mo Analyst) unlocks flagship-model picks (Claude Opus, GPT-5, Gemini Pro), on-demand audits where you trigger any model on any match, and pre-kickoff model-vs-market alerts. Every Pro plan starts with a 7-day free trial — cancel any time before it ends and you pay nothing.
How does the "Beat the AIs" competition work?

Free to enter. Pick the exact score on every World Cup match. 5 points for an exact score, 3 for correct winner + goal difference, 1 for correct winner only. Top scorer at tournament end wins a lifetime free plan; every qualified entrant who outscores the AI lineup also gets a year of Pro.
Where do the odds come from?

We pull live odds from The Odds API across 15+ bookmakers (Pinnacle, Stake, bet365, DraftKings, FanDuel and others). Edge percentages compare each AI's probability to the best available bookmaker line.
Can I track my own picks?

Yes. Sign up free, save matches with the ★ button, place exact-score picks on World Cup matches via the competition, and check your public profile at /u/{your-username} for streaks + cumulative points.
Do you offer an API?

API access ships with the Analyst plan ($99/mo). Lower tiers get JSON exports of their own pick history. Reach out via support if you need higher-volume access for research.

🔥 Grok 4 Fast is on a 3-win streak

Free account. Get notified the moment they lock their next pick.

Which AI is best at
predicting sports?

How the AIs did

TB Toronto Blue Jays vs BR Boston Red Sox

AI vs AI Top Picks